Livingston have earned just 0.33 points per game over both the last six and twelve matches, with a goal difference of -14 across the season. Rangers have excellent form at 1.83 and 1.92 over the same windows with a goal difference of +17. The ELO model overwhelmingly favours Rangers with an implied probability of around 72%, and the goal-difference model also strongly supports them. The market at 1.35 implies 74.1% and our estimate of 76% gives slight but credible value.