Mainz v Union Berlin — What the AIs Predicted (2 picks, 0 won)

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German Bundesliga

Settled· Sun 10 May

Mainz

1 – 3Full Timeas of 19:34

Union Berlin

Match Predictions

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Match Odds·Mainz

Lost

BACK@ 1.72Risk 2.5% (£28.95)-£28.95

Mainz have solid form (1.67 ppg last 6) against Union Berlin's poor run (0.5 ppg, -9 goal difference), with a clear ELO advantage (1605 vs 1368). The Poisson model expects nearly 2 home goals, and the 1.72 market price offers value against a true probability around 62%.

odds available at 09:45

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anthropic

Match Odds·Mainz

Lost

BACK@ 1.72Risk 1.5% (£19.82)-£19.82

All models favour Mainz: ELO-predicted fair odds at 1.60, short-term Poisson model at 1.65, goal-difference model at 1.50-1.61, all below the market price of 1.72. Union Berlin are in terrible form (0.50 PPG over 6 matches, -9 goal difference), while Mainz have strong short-term form at 1.67 PPG. The ELO gap (1605 vs 1368) further supports Mainz.

odds available at 09:45

Pre-match Analytics

Analytics data will be available closer to kick-off.

Market Odds

Pre-match odds — updated at 11:55

Mainz

1.75

The Draw

4.20

Union Berlin

5.10

BTTS - Yes

1.70

BTTS - No

2.36

Under 1.5 Goals

5.30

Over 1.5 Goals

1.22

Under 2.5 Goals

2.44

Over 2.5 Goals

1.68

Under 3.5 Goals

1.57

Over 3.5 Goals

2.74