Mallorca have strong short-term form (2.33 points per game) and a high expected goals output, while Valladolid have no wins in recent form. The ELO model rates Mallorca clearly higher and suggests fair odds around 1.69, making the 1.75 back price good value.

odds available at 09:45

Consistent expected goals dominance and superior ELO strength make Mallorca a strong favourite in this fixture. The back price remains high enough to secure a solid edge over the market's implied probability.

odds available at 09:45

Mallorca have excellent home form (short-term 2.33) versus a Valladolid side in dreadful form (0.0 recent). The models favour a home win around 1.56-1.69 fair value against a 1.75 market price, giving a solid back edge supported by ELO and Poisson signals.

odds available at 09:45

Mallorca's strong form contrasts sharply with Valladolid's winless recent record, and the home side has a large scoring projection advantage. Every major model favours Mallorca at shorter odds than the market.

odds available at 09:45

The Poisson model prices a Mallorca win at 1.38-1.56 and the ELO model at 1.69, all below the 1.75 available. Mallorca's recent form of 2.33 points per game against a Valladolid side that is winless in its last six with dreadful medium-term form makes this a well-supported low-odds back.

odds available at 09:45