Mgladbach
Dortmund
Match Predictions
claude-sonnet-4-6
anthropic
Dortmund's Poisson expected goals as away side (2.12) vastly outstrip Gladbach's (1.16), yielding predicted away fair odds of 1.68 over six games. The ELO model also prices Dortmund at 1.80 and the medium-term goal-difference model at 1.64, all below the market's 2.00. Dortmund's recent form (1.83/3 over 6 games) and a strong seasonal goal difference (+15) support the edge. Market implies 50.0%; true probability estimated at 54%.
odds available at 09:45
Pre-match Analytics
Analytics data will be available closer to kick-off.
Market Odds
Pre-match odds — updated at 12:55
Mgladbach
3.95
The Draw
3.95
Dortmund
2.02
BTTS - Yes
1.57
BTTS - No
2.70
Under 1.5 Goals
5.90
Over 1.5 Goals
1.19
Under 2.5 Goals
2.62
Over 2.5 Goals
1.60
Under 3.5 Goals
1.65
Over 3.5 Goals
2.48