Middlesbrough
Leicester
Match Predictions
claude-sonnet-4-6
anthropic
Middlesbrough show excellent short-term form (2.17 points per game over last 6) against a Leicester side in serious disarray (0.33 points per game). The Poisson model gives Boro nearly 2 expected goals at home vs just over 1 for Leicester, and all three models — ELO, goal difference, and form-based — point to a strong home win probability well above the market-implied 63.3%. The ELO model alone suggests fair odds of 1.53, making 1.58 a genuine value back.
Pre-match Analytics
Analytics data will be available closer to kick-off.
Market Odds
Pre-match odds — updated at 10:30
Middlesbrough
1.58
The Draw
4.60
Leicester
6.40
BTTS - Yes
1.86
BTTS - No
2.12
Under 1.5 Goals
4.80
Over 1.5 Goals
1.25
Under 2.5 Goals
2.30
Over 2.5 Goals
1.75
Under 3.5 Goals
1.49
Over 3.5 Goals
2.90