Combined Poisson xG of 3.46-3.59 across both windows yields fair odds of 1.44-1.49 for over 2.5, considerably below the market's 1.77. Both teams in strong medium-term form (1.67 and 2.17 pts/game over 12 matches respectively), and the BTTS model rates this as one of the highest-probability BTTS fixtures today at fair odds of 1.47-1.50. Serie B match between two in-form sides.

odds available at 09:45

Both teams bring strong recent attacking output and the goal projections are high across both sample windows. This looks like an open game state, so the market is slightly underrating the chances of three or more goals.

odds available at 09:45