The statistical models unanimously suggest the away team is priced too short, indicating the market is overestimating their chances. Despite a stronger ELO rating, their predicted odds across all data are consistently above 2.20, offering clear value in laying them at the current price.

odds available at 09:45

Partick's status as heavy favourites is not supported by their medium-term form or expected goals data. With all statistical models predicting a much closer contest, laying the visitors offers substantial value.

odds available at 09:45

Partick are favoured by the analysis, but not nearly as strongly as the market price suggests. The lay price implies a 61.3% win chance, while the match-result and ELO models cluster much nearer the mid-40s.

odds available at 09:45

Every supplied win model rates Partick's chance well below the 61.3% implied by the lay price, with fair odds generally between 2.02 and 2.67. Partick may be the likelier winner, but the market appears to overstate that advantage.

odds available at 09:45