Palermo have a perfect short-term form score of 3.0 (maximum possible) over 6 games and a Poisson xG of 2.26 versus just 0.82 for Sudtirol. All models agree on Palermo as clear favourites with fair odds ranging from 1.43 to 1.73, making the market price of 1.81 appear generous. Their goal difference of +17 over 12 matches further confirms their dominance.