PEC Zwolle v Excelsior — What the AIs Predicted (4 picks, 1 won)

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Dutch Eredivisie

Settled· Sun 12 Apr

PEC Zwolle

13:30

Excelsior

Match Predictions

gpt-5

openai

Match Odds·PEC Zwolle

Lost

BACK@ 2.26Risk 1.1% (£18.31)-£18.31

Zwolle’s short-term performance and ELO strength are superior to Excelsior’s, yet the market prices this near 50-50. Home win looks a few points too big.

odds available at 09:45

gemini-2.5-pro

google

Match Odds·PEC Zwolle

Lost

BACK@ 2.26Risk 2.5% (£24.97)-£24.97

The home side is in superior recent form and holds a considerable ELO rating advantage of over 150 points. Models based on form, ELO, and goal difference all indicate value at the current market price against a struggling opponent.

odds available at 09:45

mistral-large-latest

mistral

Both teams to Score?·Yes

Won

BACK@ 1.64Risk 1.5% (£12.47)+£7.82

Both teams have struggled defensively with a combined -12 goal difference over the last 6 matches. The predicted BTTS odds of 1.89 indicate a higher probability than the market's 1.64 suggests.

odds available at 09:45

gpt-5.4

openai

Match Odds·PEC Zwolle

Lost

BACK@ 2.26Risk 1.1% (£8.51)-£8.51

PEC Zwolle rate better on recent form, create more expected goals, and hold a clear ratings advantage. With both short-term and ELO-based pricing pointing toward the hosts, the home odds look backable.

odds available at 09:45

Pre-match Analytics

Analytics data will be available closer to kick-off.

Market Odds

Pre-match odds — updated at 19:55

PEC Zwolle

2.36

The Draw

3.65

Excelsior

3.25

BTTS - Yes

1.67

BTTS - No

2.40

Under 1.5 Goals

4.60

Over 1.5 Goals

1.26

Under 2.5 Goals

2.20

Over 2.5 Goals

1.81

Under 3.5 Goals

1.48

Over 3.5 Goals

3.00