Port Vale
Barnsley
Match Predictions
claude-sonnet-4-6
anthropic
Poisson xG for both teams is low — Port Vale 0.67 and Barnsley 1.49 over 6 matches (predicted over 2.5 at 2.73), and 1.00 vs 1.33 over 12 matches (predicted over 2.5 at 2.43). Both windows suggest under 2.5 is around 58-63% probability, while the market implies only 51.5% at 1.94. This is a lower-division match with two struggling teams (Port Vale 1.5 and Barnsley 0.83 form over 6) and the statistical edge is consistent across both sample windows.
odds available at 09:45
Pre-match Analytics
Analytics data will be available closer to kick-off.
Market Odds
Pre-match odds — updated at 19:55
Port Vale
2.90
The Draw
3.55
Barnsley
2.58
BTTS - Yes
1.79
BTTS - No
2.22
Under 1.5 Goals
3.90
Over 1.5 Goals
1.33
Under 2.5 Goals
1.97
Over 2.5 Goals
1.98
Under 3.5 Goals
1.37
Over 3.5 Goals
3.60