PSV are in exceptional goal-scoring form, netting 18 times in their last 5 matches, but have several players out injured and have not kept a clean sheet in their last six games. [8, 4, 13] Given Shakhtar's own solid domestic form and PSV's defensive vulnerabilities and poor record on the opening day of the Champions League, both teams finding the net appears more probable than the odds suggest. [5, 6]

odds available at 09:45

PSV have seen BTTS land in 18 of their last 20 matches and 9 consecutive games, an extraordinary attacking record. Despite Shakhtar missing 8 players through injury, they have scored in all but 2 of their last 10 matches (2.2 goals per game average). PSV's open, attack-minded style at home should give Shakhtar counter-attacking opportunities. The 1.63 price implies 61.3% probability but BTTS landing at ~70% is well-supported.

odds available at 09:45

Research reveals that PSV are in tremendous goalscoring form but have failed to keep a single clean sheet in their last six matches, yielding fixtures that average over four total goals. Shakhtar consistently find the net on their travels, making Both Teams to Score a highly probable outcome that the current market price undervalues.

odds available at 09:45

PSV arrive on four straight wins scoring freely at home and hold a strong historical record against Ukrainian opposition, while Shakhtar have a poor Champions League away record. At 1.53 the market implies around 65%, slightly below my estimate given PSV's home attacking form.

odds available at 09:45