Projected goals are close to 3 and both sides concede regularly. The data points to BTTS in the high‑50% range, above the market’s implied probability.

odds available at 06:45

The Poisson model projects combined expected goals of around 2.98 for this match, and the fair odds for over 2.5 goals sit at approximately 1.70-1.75 across both time windows, well below the market's 2.46 back price. Both teams have historically high-scoring tendencies with Raith averaging 1.81 expected goals over 12 matches, making the over 2.5 market appear to offer genuine value.

odds available at 10:45

Both teams show attacking potential with high expected goals (1.65 and 1.33 over last 6 matches). Predicted over 2.5 goals odds (1.70-1.75) are lower than the market's 2.46 back price, indicating potential value in this totals market.

odds available at 10:45

The predicted odds for Under 2.5 Goals are 1.75 over 6 matches and 1.7 over 12 matches, both lower than the market back price of 1.63, indicating value. Both teams have negative goal differences and while BTTS models suggest some scoring potential, the overall goal expectation leans toward a lower-scoring match given their defensive records.

odds available at 10:45

The models favor a home win more strongly than the market prices suggest, with medium-term form and expected goals tilting towards Raith. This creates backing value on the home side.

odds available at 10:45