Short‑term expected goals for both sides are high and the models make over 2.5 a clear favourite. Both‑teams‑to‑score is also rated well above 55%, reinforcing a goal‑heavy profile. At 2.20 the market is discounting the likely scoring.

odds available at 10:45

Both teams have strong attacking metrics (high expected goals) and recent form that suggests scoring potential. The predicted BTTS odds of 1.47-1.77 indicate the market's 1.89 is slightly undervaluing the likelihood of both teams scoring, especially given the high expected goals for both sides.

odds available at 10:45

The predicted fair odds of 1.47 for BTTS Yes over the last 6 matches suggest strong scoring potential from both sides. Raith's expected goals of 2.11 and Partick's 1.48 indicate both teams can score. The market back price of 1.89 offers value compared to the statistical prediction, with the short-term model showing particular confidence in both teams finding the net.

odds available at 10:45

The Poisson model projects 2.11 home and 1.48 away expected goals over 6 matches — a combined 3.59 xG strongly supporting over 2.5. The short-term predicted fair odds for over 2.5 are 1.44, significantly below the market price of 2.20. Even the 12-match window gives fair odds of 1.81, still well under market. This is one of the clearest value gaps on the slate.

odds available at 10:45