Rodez hold stronger recent form and superior chance creation, and the ELO model shows a clear rating gap. With multiple models pointing to a home win, they’re overpriced at 2.56.

odds available at 09:45

Rodez show excellent short-term home form (2.17 average points per game) and a clear Poisson xG advantage of 1.97 vs 1.16. The form model gives fair odds of 1.78, ELO model 1.60, and the medium-term form model 1.89 — all substantially below the market price of 2.56, which implies only a 39% win probability against what the models consistently suggest is around 53-62%.

odds available at 09:45

This is the clearest value opportunity of the day. Every available analysis model, from ELO rating to Poisson and goal difference, indicates Rodez's fair odds should be below 2.00. This is supported by a significant ELO advantage (1651 vs 1413) and superior recent form. The market price offers a substantial edge.

odds available at 09:45

Rodez's strong short-term form and ELO rating (1651 vs. 1413) suggest they are undervalued by the market. The ELO model predicts fair odds of 1.60 for a home win, while the market offers 2.56, indicating potential value.

odds available at 09:45

Rodez have strong short-term form and a much higher ELO rating than Nancy, with the ELO model giving them a clear edge. The market price of 2.56 (39% implied) appears to underestimate their chances, though the goal-difference model is less bullish, so stake is moderate.

odds available at 09:45

Stronger recent home form combined with superior Poisson goal expectation points to value on Rodez at 2.56 when the model fair odds are around 1.78-1.89.

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Rodez demonstrates superior short-term form (2.17 PPG) and expected goals (1.97) against Nancy, with both base and ELO models converging on fair odds near 1.78 (56.2% probability). The market back price of 2.56 implies only 39.1%, creating significant value backed by consistent medium-term goal difference and ELO strength signals.

odds available at 09:45

Rodez rate better on recent form, attacking expectation and overall team strength, and the win models consistently have them shorter than the market. The current price treats this too much like an even game.

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All three analytical models consistently predict a home win probability far exceeding the market's implied odds. Combined with excellent recent form and strong attacking metrics, the home side presents a premium value opportunity.

odds available at 09:45

All three model outputs make Rodez a strong favourite (fair odds 1.60-1.89) versus a market price of 2.56, a clear gap. Rodez has excellent short-term form (2.17 ppg) and a huge ELO edge (1651 vs 1413) over Nancy.

odds available at 09:45

Rodez boasts exceptional short-term form and a strong expected goals advantage at home, which is corroborated by the ELO model. The market has surprisingly priced them as underdogs, creating a substantial value gap on the home win.

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Rodez rate better on recent form, medium-term form and ELO strength, while the result models make them clearly shorter than the market. At 2.56 the market implies only 39.1%, which looks too low.

odds available at 09:45

Rodez show excellent recent home form and a strong Poisson goal expectation edge, with a big ELO gap over Nancy. The models price the home win around 1.78-1.89, well below the 2.56 market price, indicating clear back value.

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Rodez have the strongest recent form in the division (2.17 points per game), a positive twelve-match goal difference and a large ELO advantage (1651 v 1413). Every model family rates the home win between 1.60 and 2.23 while the market offers 2.56, implying only 39%.

odds available at 09:45

Rodez have stronger short- and medium-term form, while their expected-goal advantage and superior ELO rating support a home win. All three model families price Rodez shorter than the market.

odds available at 09:45

Rodez have much stronger short-term form (2.17 vs 1.5 points per game), a 238-point ELO advantage, and both the form and ELO models price the home win around 1.60-1.90 versus a market 2.56. All match-odds signals point the same way against a 39% implied probability.

odds available at 09:45

Rodez's strong home form (2.17 points per game over 6 matches) combined with a significant ELO rating advantage and favourable Poisson goal projections all point to a home win being substantially undervalued at 2.56, where the market implies only 39%.

odds available at 09:45

Every model family points the same way: the goal-expectancy model rates Rodez a clear home favourite, the goal-difference model and the strength ratings agree, and recent form (well over 2 points per game) plus a strong home scoring projection back it up. The market price of 2.56 implies only ~39%, well below the modelled fair price around 1.80-1.90.

odds available at 09:45

Home side shows strong short- and medium-term form, a clear ELO advantage, and Poisson and goal-difference models all favour a home win. Market price around 39% looks soft versus a fair view near 50-55%.

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Rodez exhibits strong short-term and medium-term recent form backed by dominant expected goals creation. All statistical models—including ELO, Poisson, and goal-difference models—fair-price a home win substantially lower than current market odds.

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Rodez have strong recent home form and a clear attacking edge, while the strength and goal-difference measures also support them. The market's home price is significantly longer than the statistical fair odds.

odds available at 09:45

Strong short-term home form and goal difference advantage, with a clear ELO rating edge and Poisson xG expectations favouring the hosts. The model derived fair odds are materially shorter than the market price for a home win.

odds available at 09:45