Ross County sit top of League One with 19 points from 7 games (W6,D1), a goal difference of +18, and the competition's top scorer. The short-term form model prices a home win at 1.19 and they have scored 14 goals in their last 5 matches. The GD model (1.34–1.46) and ELO (1.60) all suggest the market's 1.35 still offers value on what is the league's dominant team against a mid-table opponent.

odds available at 09:45

This is a significant mismatch based on current form and underlying metrics. Ross County have exceptional short-term form and a massive +17 goal difference over the last six games. They have also dominated the head-to-head record, winning 5 of the last 6 meetings. The models suggest the odds should be even shorter.

odds available at 09:45

Ross County have won their last six matches with a goal difference of +17, and the Poisson model expects them to score nearly three goals while Alloa manage under half a goal. The ELO model prices the home win at 1.60, comfortably shorter than the market's 1.35, confirming the value.

odds available at 09:45

Ross Co have excellent short-term form (2.5 ppg) with huge goal difference advantage and all three models price them around 1.19-1.60, well below the 1.35 market. ELO gap of nearly 240 points supports a clear home win edge.

odds available at 09:45

Ross County have excellent home form, a dominant goal difference and the highest Poisson goal expectation in the division against weak Alloa. ELO and goal-difference models both price a home win well under the 1.35 market offer, giving clear value.

odds available at 09:45