Both teams have extremely low expected goals over the last 6 matches (0.50 and 0.83 respectively), with the Poisson model placing fair odds for over 2.5 goals at 6.64 — implying under 2.5 is the overwhelming probability at roughly 85%. The market's 1.87 on Under 2.5 significantly underestimates this probability, offering clear back value. Both teams also carry poor recent form, supporting a low-scoring outcome.

odds available at 09:55