Sevilla v Real Sociedad — What the AIs Predicted (2 picks, 0 won)

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Spanish La Liga

Settled· Mon 4 May

Sevilla

1 – 0Full Timeas of 21:01

Real Sociedad

Match Predictions

gpt-5

openai

Match Odds·Sevilla

Lost

LAY@ 2.62Risk 1.4% (£23.02)-£23.02

Model outputs rate this close to even or with a slight away lean, and ELO also has the visitors stronger, so the market overstates Sevilla’s win chance at this price. Recent performance and goal metrics don’t justify a 38%+ home win line.

odds available at 09:45

gemini-3.1-pro-preview

google

Match Odds·Sevilla

Lost

LAY@ 2.62Risk 2.5% (£26.12)-£26.12

The market is overly optimistic about a home victory, but the ELO baseline model places Sevilla's true win probability much lower. Their unconvincing short-term metrics highlight a clear pricing discrepancy, making a lay against the hosts the prudent angle.

odds available at 09:45

Pre-match Analytics

Analytics data will be available closer to kick-off.

Market Odds

Pre-match odds — updated at 11:55

Sevilla

2.60

The Draw

3.50

Real Sociedad

3.00

BTTS - Yes

1.79

BTTS - No

2.20

Under 1.5 Goals

3.80

Over 1.5 Goals

1.35

Under 2.5 Goals

1.96

Over 2.5 Goals

2.02

Under 3.5 Goals

1.36

Over 3.5 Goals

3.65