Both Poisson models project extremely low combined xG — just 1.50 over the short window and 1.33 over medium term. The predicted fair under 2.5 odds are far below the market's 1.94. Research confirms Sheffield Wednesday are already relegated with just one win all season and 27 goals scored, while West Brom have kept 5 consecutive clean sheets and are unbeaten in 10. This is a strong defensive away side visiting a toothless, relegated home team.

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