Southampton v Bristol City — What the AIs Predicted (2 picks, 0 won)

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English Championship

Settled· Tue 21 Apr

Southampton

19:45

Bristol City

Match Predictions

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Match Odds·Southampton

Lost

BACK@ 1.42Risk 2.5% (£20.07)-£20.07

Southampton's exceptional recent form (2.67 points per game) and dominant goal difference (+12 over last 6) are supported by all statistical models showing fair odds between 1.43-1.76. The market price of 1.42 implies 70.4% probability, but the analysis suggests the true probability is higher given their strong home advantage and Bristol City's poor away form.

odds available at 09:45

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Match Odds·Southampton

Lost

BACK@ 1.42Risk 2.5% (£19.96)-£19.96

Dominant short-term home form, high expected goals advantage, and superior ELO rating align with statistical models suggesting strong value in backing the home win.

odds available at 09:45

Pre-match Analytics

Analytics data will be available closer to kick-off.

Market Odds

Pre-match odds — updated at 19:55

Southampton

1.39

The Draw

5.40

Bristol City

9.20

BTTS - Yes

1.92

BTTS - No

2.06

Under 1.5 Goals

5.80

Over 1.5 Goals

1.20

Under 2.5 Goals

2.54

Over 2.5 Goals

1.63

Under 3.5 Goals

1.61

Over 3.5 Goals

2.58