Both teams are in high-scoring form with strong combined xG. All models price over 2.5 notably shorter than the market.

odds available at 10:45

Both teams carry high expected goals in this fixture, with the Poisson model projecting 1.48 for Southampton and 2.26 for Norwich over 6 matches, and the fair BTTS odds sitting at 1.45 — well below the market price of 1.69. Both sides show positive goal differences of +9 in recent form and the medium-term BTTS fair value of 1.45 further confirms the market is overpricing the 'No' outcome here.

odds available at 10:45

Both teams have very high expected goals based on recent matches, suggesting a high-scoring affair is likely. The predictive models strongly agree, calculating fair odds for Over 2.5 goals to be much lower than what the market is offering.

odds available at 10:45

Both teams have strong attacking metrics and recent form, with the models predicting a high likelihood of both teams scoring. The market odds are slightly generous.

odds available at 10:45

Both teams show strong attacking metrics with high expected goals, particularly Norwich's excellent away form. The statistical models predict both teams to score as likely, with the market odds offering value compared to the predicted probabilities.

odds available at 10:45