St Etienne show dominant form over both 6 (2.17 avg pts, +15 GD) and 12 matches (2.17, +14 GD), with the short-term model giving fair odds of 1.43–1.46 vs the market's 1.64. The ELO (1.80) is slightly wider but still consistent; multiple aligned signals support a home win.

odds available at 09:45

The models, especially those based on short-term form, identify a clear value edge in backing the home side. St Etienne's perfect start to the season and powerful home attack, contrasts with a Montpellier side that has been less convincing, making the home win the logical choice. [31, 32]

odds available at 09:45

Both Poisson models price St Etienne near 1.43-1.46 with dominant home form and an outstanding goal difference, while the ELO model gives 1.80. Their strong short-term form against a weaker Montpellier away side makes 1.64 clear value.

odds available at 09:45

Excellent home form and goal difference paired with a clear ELO edge. Short-term Poisson and match-odds models both land shorter than the available price, supporting a moderate home win edge.

odds available at 09:45