Low combined expected goals in both recent windows and the models price BTTS Yes much longer, implying strong value on No. Multiple signals point to a lower-scoring, one-sided scoring profile.

odds available at 09:45

Both Poisson models show very low combined expected goals (under 1.9 in both windows), and the statistically-derived fair odds for Over 2.5 are 3.60 to 4.28, implying Under 2.5 probability of 72-77%. The market at 1.74 only implies 57.5%. Research confirms Standard average just 0.90 goals per home match and Antwerp 0.90 away, with under 3.5 goals in Antwerp's last 10 league games.

odds available at 09:45

Both teams project around one goal or less, and the short-term and medium-term totals models both point strongly toward a low-scoring game. The BTTS numbers also lean against an open match.

odds available at 09:45