Every model points to a heavy Stockport advantage: ELO fair odds of 1.60, short-term model at 1.66, goal-difference model at 1.53, and medium-term model at 1.78. Peterborough's short-term form (0.33 over 6, goal difference -5) is dire. Market at 1.63 implies 61.3% — our estimate of ~68% reflects a consistent multi-model edge.

odds available at 09:55

Stockport exhibits strong short-term and medium-term form, with a significant goal difference advantage and consistent ELO ratings favoring a home win. The predicted fair odds are lower than the market back price, indicating value.

odds available at 09:55

Stockport have dominant short-term form (2.17 points per game over last 6) while Peterborough are in terrible form (0.33). The ELO model and predicted odds both strongly favour a home win, and the market price of 1.63 offers value against the statistical fair odds around 1.60-1.66.

odds available at 09:55

Stockport exhibits strong short-term home form and superior goal difference, while Peterborough has weak away form. ELO and Poisson models favor the home win with fair odds significantly below the market back price.

odds available at 09:55