Rayo Vallecano need only avoid defeat to reach the final and are likely to play conservatively away from home. Strasbourg registered zero shots on target in the first leg and have lost four of their last five matches, scoring just four goals across that run. Both sides have strong incentives to be cautious, and the market at 2.08 (48.1% implied) materially underestimates the probability of a low-scoring encounter.

odds available at 09:45

Rayo have conceded in 9 of their last 10 away games and all five Conference League away matches saw both teams score. Strasbourg must attack trailing 1-0 on aggregate and previously overcame a 2-0 deficit against Mainz with a 4-0 home win. Despite Strasbourg's poor first-leg attacking display, they rested 7 players at the weekend specifically for this match and will be far more aggressive at home with the crowd behind them.

odds available at 09:45

Strasbourg's home advantage and recent form, combined with Rayo Vallecano's struggles on the road, indicate a higher probability of a Strasbourg win.

odds available at 09:45