Union St Gilloise show strong short and medium-term form with a very high ELO rating (1843) versus a modest opponent. The market price of 1.44 is higher than the ELO model's fair odds of 1.39, indicating value on the home win.

odds available at 09:45

Union have a massive ELO advantage (1843 vs 1503) with the ELO model favouring them at 1.39 fair odds versus 1.44 offered. Excellent short and medium-term home form (2.67 ppg) against a much weaker opponent creates a clear edge on the favourite.

odds available at 09:45

The Poisson model projects strong goal production with both teams creating chances, and the ELO model strongly favours the home side. The predicted fair odds for over 3.5 goals are 1.93-2.49, while the market offers 2.78, indicating the market is underestimating goal potential in this Belgian Pro League fixture.

odds available at 08:45

Both sides carry solid scoring projections, and the both-teams-to-score fair prices are notably shorter than the available market price. At 1.94 the market implies 51.5%, which underrates the goal-profile of the fixture.

odds available at 09:45

Union have a huge ELO advantage (1843 vs 1503) and excellent short and medium-term home form, with the ELO model fair value at 1.39 and the Poisson expectation clearly favouring them. Market price of 1.44 implies 69% but the models point closer to 72-75%, giving a clear back edge on a dominant home side.

odds available at 09:45

Both teams carry meaningful scoring projections, producing combined goal expectations above three in each window. The model prices both teams scoring between 1.41 and 1.58, well below the offered odds.

odds available at 09:45

Both teams have strong attacking projections with Poisson xG of 2.11 and 1.64, and the BTTS model predicts odds of 1.41 to 1.58 — far below the market's 1.94. Both sides' consistent scoring makes this a clear value opportunity.

odds available at 09:45