Venezia have been dominant with outstanding medium-term form (2.5 points per game over 12 matches) and a goal difference of +18 over that span, reflecting their quality. The ELO model gives them a massive rating advantage with fair odds of approximately 1.30, and the goal-difference model suggests they should be even shorter. The market price of 1.35 still offers value given how comprehensively all models favour the home side.