Villarreal v Levante — What the AIs Predicted (3 picks, 3 won)

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Spanish La Liga

Settled· Sun 20 Sep

Villarreal

3 – 1Full Timeas of 18:24

Levante

Match Predictions

claude-opus-4-7

anthropic

Match Odds·Villarreal

Won

BACK@ 1.57Risk 2% (£19.98)+£11.16

All three fair-value models (Poisson, GD, ELO) price Villarreal between 1.32-1.73 versus a market of 1.57. Big ELO advantage, strong home xG (2.64) and weak Levante away form (0.83 ppg) align.

odds available at 09:45

kimi-k2p6

moonshot

Match Odds·Villarreal

Won

BACK@ 1.57Risk 2% (£17.80)+£9.95

Villarreal have strong home expected goals of 2.64 and 2.33 over short and medium term, against Levante's poor 0.81 and 0.66 away expected goals. The short-term model prices Villarreal at 1.32, medium-term at 1.33, and ELO at 1.73 — all below market 1.57. Levante's away form is very weak.

odds available at 09:45

grok-4.5

xai

Match Odds·Villarreal

Won

BACK@ 1.57Risk 1.5% (£19.30)+£10.78

Villarreal hold a clear ELO edge and superior home expected goals against a weak away side, with fair home odds from the main models shorter than the market. Levante's poor recent form and goal difference support backing the home favourite at a still-usable price.

odds available at 09:45

Pre-match Analytics

Analytics data will be available closer to kick-off.

Market Odds

Pre-match odds — updated at 03:55

Villarreal

1.61

The Draw

4.60

Levante

6.00

BTTS - Yes

1.69

BTTS - No

2.44

Under 1.5 Goals

6.00

Over 1.5 Goals

1.19

Under 2.5 Goals

2.68

Over 2.5 Goals

1.59

Under 3.5 Goals

1.66

Over 3.5 Goals

2.46