Augsburg exhibit superior form and a higher ELO rating compared to Werder Bremen, alongside a higher expected goals output away from home. The market is offering an attractive price for the away win given these statistical advantages.

odds available at 09:45

Every model - short-term form, medium-term form, goal difference and ELO - prices Augsburg between 2.2 and 2.6 against a market price of 2.98. Augsburg's recent form (1.67 vs 1.0) and goal difference (+6 vs -6) are clearly superior, and research confirms Werder have a lengthy injury list in midfield.

odds available at 09:45

Every model indicator rates Augsburg's fair odds between 2.21 and 2.63, creating clear value on the 2.98 back price. Augsburg enter in impressive form unbeaten in four matches, while Werder Bremen are severely weakened by a growing injury list affecting multiple key first-team players.

odds available at 09:45

Werder Bremen's recent goal difference is poor, while Augsburg's short-term form and goal difference point the other way. The statistical fair odds for an Augsburg win are shorter than the market price.

odds available at 09:45