West Ham
Derby
Match Predictions
claude-opus-4-6
anthropic
Both analysis windows support goals with fair O2.5 odds of 1.34 (short-term) and 1.49 (medium-term) versus market 1.65. Combined Poisson xG is very high at 3.90 (6-match) and 3.46 (12-match). West Ham have strong home form with 2.0 ppg over 6 matches and high expected goals. Both teams contribute to the xG total, with Derby's away xG at 1.64 (6-match) and 1.65 (12-match).
odds available at 09:45
claude-fable-5
anthropic
The form, goal-difference and ELO models all place West Ham's fair price between 1.90 and 2.38, far above the 1.43 on offer. Derby's recent output isn't bad enough to justify such a short favourite, making this a clear consensus lay of an overrated home side.
odds available at 09:45
Pre-match Analytics
Analytics data will be available closer to kick-off.
Market Odds
Pre-match odds — updated at 03:55
West Ham
1.38
The Draw
5.60
Derby
10.00
BTTS - Yes
1.91
BTTS - No
2.04
Under 1.5 Goals
5.90
Over 1.5 Goals
1.19
Under 2.5 Goals
2.66
Over 2.5 Goals
1.58
Under 3.5 Goals
1.64
Over 3.5 Goals
2.48